Gartner anticipates that, by 2022, organizations that use a risk-based vulnerability management process will experience 80% fewer breaches. So, how can an organization make this shift and achieve a risk-based vulnerability management program? Two words: Risk scoring.

Leveraging risk scores for remediation prioritization and quantifying risk allows companies to prioritize budgets and resource allocation and focus on the security activities that could have the greatest impact to their business. And the idea of incorporating risk scoring intelligence to make the shift to a risk-based vulnerability management program is evolving. 

Through the collaboration of NetSPI’s development, engineering, and product teams, we’ve uncovered an accurate, data-driven methodology to calculate both aggregate and vulnerability risk scores using the data available from our penetration testing and vulnerability management platform, Resolve™. Let’s dig deeper.

What is risk scoring? 

In its most abstract form, risk is “the effect of uncertainty on objects involving exposure to danger.” At its foundation, cyber security risk is ultimately a function of (threat x vulnerability). While the definitions are helpful, it is important to look at your security program with a new lens and assess how your organization quantifies its risk – and is it even important to do so? Simply, the answer is yes. Quantifying and measuring cybersecurity risk is one of the most important components to a successful risk-based vulnerability management program.

The evolution of risk-based vulnerability management

Vulnerability incident resolution used to be reactive. Companies would wait for something to be exploited, then fix it. As IT systems became more integral to business operations, the need to be proactive in cyber defense became evident. Many tools have been developed that can hastily provide a list of vulnerabilities, but companies were quickly overwhelmed and overloaded with the number of identified vulnerabilities without direction or priority assigned for remediation. 

The introduction of Governance, Risk, and Compliance (GRC) software that could correlate all vulnerabilities aligned to business controls and identify the “true risks” to the company allowed some prioritization of risk. This management activity was done through technology in a system without human touch, lacking real world controls and exceptions. This caused the technologies to be complicated, difficult to implement, and require extensive customization. The latest vulnerability management market entrants are touting their ability to utilize AI to try and predict an exploit before it ever happens. But organizations are spending a lot of money on this technology, and it’s hard to predict. The usage of AI and other automated tools opaquely calculates the likelihood of a vulnerability exploit and offers limited customization to the companies using the technology. 

Today, the gold standard is a risk-based vulnerability management program. One where we prioritize vulnerability remediation efforts based on the true risk it presents to your specific organization, as opposed to a program that focuses purely on compliance “check the box” activities or a program that is so overwhelmed it remediates vulnerabilities ad-hoc as they show up, as opposed to appropriately prioritizing them.

For more insights, watch our webinar: The Evolution of Risk-Based Vulnerability Management.

How to use your risk score metrics to help find, prioritize, and fix vulnerabilities

Risk scoring allows companies to manage their evolving attack surface unlike they were able to before. The first step is to develop a customized risk lifecycle that will be the foundation on which risk data is generated. This includes identifying both the external and internal threats and vulnerabilities, as well as the assets that could be attacked. The decision then must be made on the best course of treatment, with options including mitigating, transferring, or accepting the risk. 

Here are the seven factors that impact how risk scores are determined in our Resolve™ platform:

  • Impact – If this vulnerability was to be exploited, how severe would it’s impact be? 
  • Likelihood – How likely is it that an attacker can and will attack this space? 
  • Environmental Modifiers – Think broadly about the asset and the environment in which the vulnerability is located.
  • Temporal Modifiers – Focuses on exploit code maturity, confidence, and remediation requirements. Temporal modifiers bring your risk score to life.
  • Industry Comparisons – How does your risk compare to other organizations or peers in your sector? 
  • Threat Actors – Are threat actors actively exploiting vulnerabilities present in your environment? 
  • Remediation Risk – Using the remediation SLAs available through PTaaS, all vulnerabilities are automatically assigned customizable due dates. Use remediation risk to determine your aggregates that require attention from a compliance perspective.

Vulnerability risk scoring is particularly beneficial in terms of remediation prioritization as it is calculated when you look at (vulnerability risk x the cost of resolution). If the vulnerability is deemed high severity, but the impact on your business is low (if exploited), the risk score would be on the lower side, and it may not be worth spending the money to fix it. And vice versa.

When it comes time to put your risk score to use, here are a few remediation considerations to keep in mind:

  • Prioritize – Prioritization is the most difficult part. Companies today can effectively identify vulnerabilities through penetration testing services, but how do they figure out which ones to fix first? What are the true risks to the business? This will vary depending on your business. 
  • Evaluate – Organizations must understand the efficacy of their risk mitigating controls. Manual pentesting and vulnerability scans still need to be done to validate your efforts are working as intended. 
  • Utilize the Data – Once you have a risk score, use it to validate and drive decisions around resource allocation, remediation prioritization, spend validation, track risk over time, industry benchmarking, and more.
  • Effectiveness – Are you on track to remediate your vulnerabilities before any threat materializes? Are your vulnerability and aggregate risk scores improving over time?

We see it every day. Companies are facing an immense number of vulnerabilities that humans have to manually sift through to assess and prioritize. Having a risk-based vulnerability management program in place allows organizations to identify, prioritize and remediate risks within their organization, saving time, headaches, and – perhaps most importantly – dollars in the end.